The government of Ethiopia is investing significant public resources to increase overall national
production of teff, wheat, and maize. To better understand the likely economywide effects of increases of
between 12 and 14 percent in the national production of these cereals, a set of production increase
scenarios for each crop were run using a computable general equilibrium model of the Ethiopian
economy. The analyses were extended to also consider the effects of several international wheat price and
wheat import scenarios, a wheat subsidy program, and maize exports. Among the effects considered are
changes in economic growth, prices, total household consumption, cereal and calorie consumption levels,
and poverty measures.