Type | Working Paper - DEA Ministry of Finance Working Paper |
Title | Impact of Major Liberalization on Productivity: The J-Curve Hypothesis |
Author(s) | |
Volume | 5 |
Publication (Day/Month/Year) | 2009 |
Page numbers | 2009 |
URL | http://finmin.nic.in/workingpaper/productivityjcurve09sept.pdf |
Abstract | India moved from a growth rate of 3.5% per annum during the period 1950-1 to 1979-80 to a growth rate of about 5.5% per annum thereafter because of gradual liberalization during the 1980’s. Following the BOP crisis of 1990-1991, India undertook a deep and wide ranging liberalization of domestic and external policies. However, the growth rate barely moved from the 5.5%-5.8% range, during the 1990s [Virmani(2006a, b)].4 Many analysts pointed to this puzzle: How could the limited reforms of the 1980s raise the growth rate of the Indian economy by 2 per cent points, while the relatively massive reforms of the 1990s have virtually no affect on the growth trend. |