The purpose of this manuscript is to construct the economy-wide number of laborers by
“age times education” (at each age with a break-down by education) for each ye ar of the
reform period (1978-2003), as well as to forecast the number of laborers by age times
education through 2025. These are the raw data for use in the construction of measures of the
quantity and quality of labor.
The manuscript starts with an introduction to how data on population (including laborers)
are collected and evaluates the age-specific data. The second and third section examine the
changes to the classification into different education categories over time and the changes in
the rate of completion of a particular level of schooling. The fourth section explains how
missing education-specific data on laborers (by age) in key years are constructed, while the
fifth section derives data on total employment. The sixth section combines the available data
from censuses and 1% sample surveys to construct age- and education-specific data on
laborers for each year of the reform period, from 1978-2003; the seventh section creates
forecasts of the number of laborers by age times education through 2025.
The results, the aggregate quantity of laborers and various human capital measures for
each year are reported in four tables: in Table 8 and Table 9 for the period 1978-2003, and in
Table 12 and Table 13 for the period 2000-2025.
The term “population” in the following refers to all persons, the term “laborers” to those
defined as laborers in the different sources. “Census” refers to a survey of the total population
or of all laborers, and “sample” to a survey of a subset of the total population or a subset of
all laborers. The term “population” is not used in the sense of “sample vs. population” or in
the sense of “sampling population.”