Type | Working Paper - Washington, DC: World Bank |
Title | China regional disparities |
Author(s) | |
Publication (Day/Month/Year) | 1995 |
URL | http://carnegieendowment.org/files/keidel1.pdf |
Abstract | Comparison of China’s major regions, detailed below, shows that in official GDP per capita terms and for rural income and consumption, disparities appear large. Furthermore, both over 20 years and over the 2000-05 five-year period, Chinese rural income and consumption disparities have increased, as measured by the ratios of per-capita rural household statistics representative for major regions. In other words, regional rural household income and consumption levels in China are diverging (at least through 2005) and have been, whether measured since 1985 or 2000. Although disparities are growing, the extraordinarily rapid improvement in rural household income and consumption levels in all regions over both longer-term (1985-2005) and more recent (2000-2005) periods is notable. Average annual real growth in rural household income was at least 6.0 percent for all seven regions over the period 1985-2005, and for consumption the corresponding average growth rate was at least 6.5 percent over all regions. Appreciation of this sustained speed of improvement in well-being in all regions and provinces must heavily influence evaluation of both the causes and consequences of observed levels and trends in inter-regional inequality. Poverty comparisons between a coastal and an interior province show that measuring poverty differences as part of the analysis requires careful selection of a relevant poverty line. Finally, the analysis presented below concludes that the levels and trends in regional inequality are healthy parts of China’s successful economic reform program. They furthermore provide essential incentives for voluntary labor migration from low-productivity areas to highproductivity and higher income work opportunities in other regions. The inequality trends also indicate that China’s high internal migration period is not over and that equilibrating convergence must be a long time away. In the meantime, China should continue to provide the essential complementary investments and reforms needed to facilitate migration set in motion in part by the very inequalities themselves. |