Type | Working Paper |
Title | Uncertainty and the Hedging Role of Housing Asset in Household Consumption: the Case of China |
Author(s) | |
Publication (Day/Month/Year) | 2015 |
Abstract | This paper extends previous studies by exploring the precautionary function of housing asset to hedge the uncertainty of both earning income and future expenditure in a transitional economy. Based on a large official survey data of Chinese urban residents over 2002-2009, we establish empirical models to separately estimate how housing asset can smooth the impacts of two different uncertainties on household consumption. We find that the volatility risk of both income and expenditure does have a negative impact on household consumption. However, the empirical results also suggests that housing asset is an important channel for households to hedge against this risk, especially for families sensitive to the uncertainty risk of education and medical expenditures. Our findings exhibit the necessity of improving the unemployment insurance, educational and medical insurance system in post-reform urban China. |
» | China - Urban Household Survey 2002 |