Abstract |
This study contributes to the literature on demographic adjustments to societal crises by examining ethnic-specific probabilities of having first and second marital births and a first postmarriage abortion in Kazakhstan. Discrete-time logit models, employing data from the 1995 and 1999 Kazakhstan Demographic and Health Surveys, are fitted. The results show that the probability of first birth responded to societal cataclysms of the post-Soviet transition, but this response was most manifest and enduring in the ethnic group that had been most demographically advanced and that also found itself most politically vulnerable. While ethnic differences in the probability of second birth were generally more pronounced, the pace of its post-Soviet decline was relatively uniform across all ethnic groups. Induced abortion did not show any reaction to the vagaries of the post-Soviet transition, as probabilities of resorting to abortion were declining continuously in all ethnic groups since before the dissolution of the USSR. |