Type | Journal Article |
Title | The Sectoral Employment Intensity of Growth in South Africa |
Author(s) | |
Publication (Day/Month/Year) | 2015 |
URL | http://www.aiel.it/cms/cms-files/submission/all20150606155627.pdf |
Abstract | Concerns have been expressed recently about the inability of the South African economy to provide adequate employment for the increasing number of job seekers. The rate of unemployment remains stubbornly high in spite of vastly improved macroeconomic fundamentals since the 1990s. South Africa registered positive average growth rates of 4.9 per cent in 2005-2008 and 1.7 per cent in 2009-2011. However despite these growth rates employment has not increased significantly. This paper investigates how the sectoral employment intensity of output growth in the eight non-agricultural sectors of the South African economy has evolved in the period 2000:01-2012:04, with a view to identify key growth sectors that are employment intensive. To achieve this, the study evaluates the employment elasticities in the major SIC divisions of the economy to establish whether growth is employment intensive in these sectors. Empirical findings of the study suggest that employment and economic growth do not move together in the long run, implying that jobless growth did occur in South Africa during the period under review. This supports the view that South Africa has become less labour intensive and more capital intensive, and in turn facilitated a structural adjustment that has led to the weakening employment-growth relationship. Results of a sectoral division confirm a long run relationship between employment and growth in finance and business services, manufacturing, transport and the utilities sectors. In particular, the results suggest that sectors within the tertiary sector are best performing sectors, in terms of employment intensity of output growth, reflecting the changing structure of the economy and the nature of employment shifting away from primary towards the tertiary sector. Investment in the tertiary sector is necessary to foster new employment opportunities and can assist in improving the overall employment intensity in South Africa. |
» | South Africa - Quarterly Labour Force Survey 2011 |