Type | Conference Paper - Actuarial Society of South Africa’s |
Title | Retirement adequacy goals revisited: The South African experience of goal estimation for one-and two-adult households |
Author(s) | |
Publication (Day/Month/Year) | 2013 |
City | Sandton |
URL | http://www.africanagenda.com/convention2013registration/papers/09-a472f2c9485f45618acd7d3e6613b286.pdf |
Abstract | Retirement adequacy goals, or how much is required to retire comfortably, are important for financial planning. The primary purpose of this paper was to produce updated retirement adequacy goals for one- and two-adult households using IES 2010–2011 data, updated economic assumptions and updated tax rules. It was found that consumption does not change at or in retirement. The calculated retirement adequacy goals were dependent on a number of different factors including household composition and retirement age. There was evidence that higher dwelling values were associated with higher goals and, in certain cases, an inverse relationship between income and goal levels was found. There was some evidence of households saving more for retirement by reducing saving elsewhere or using debt which resulted in higher targets. For retirement adequacy goals to be useful for planning purposes, they should be relatively stable over a short period of time. A further aim of the paper was to assess the change in the results between this and a previous study. Using consistent methodology, single females required approximately one times annual salary less than previously while single males and couples required 0,3 times annual salary and one times annual salary more respectively. These changes were driven by economic factors, sensitivity to tax and demographic data changes. This highlights that retirement adequacy goals will evolve at a household level due to tax changes and as the demographics of the household change, emphasising the importance of regular financial planning incorporating tax modelling. At an aggregate level, this volatility is even greater which makes setting a single long-term goal in a retirement fund extremely difficult. |
» | South Africa - Quarterly Labour Force Survey 2013 |