Type | Working Paper |
Title | Welfare Dynamics and Exposure to Food Price Shocks in Uganda under Non-Separability: How Relevant is the Net Market Position? |
Author(s) | |
Publication (Day/Month/Year) | 2013 |
URL | http://web.unitn.it/files/download/20429/adamonndungumukasa-paper_0.pdf |
Abstract | This paper examines the welfare impacts of food price inflation in Uganda between 2005 and 2011 under non-separability. A normalized restricted profit function is estimated for agricultural households and the recursivity hypothesis is rejected. On the consumption side, a Quadratic Almost Ideal Demand System (QUAIDS) is estimated controlling for endogeneity of expenditure and shadow wage, and censoring due to zero purchases. By means of compensating variations, we found that welfare effects of price changes were systematically lower in the non-separable model, implying a high degree of labor market imperfections. Furthermore, the results suggest that the welfare effects were unevenly distributed both within and between household groups. Within the same group, households in the richest expenditure deciles gained the most and those at the lowest suffered the most. Between household groups, non-agricultural and poor households, significant and marginal net buyers were the biggest welfare losers of food price increases. Finally, the households’ willingness to pay for price stabilization revealed that households who suffered more from high price volatility were willing to sacrifice a non-negligible fraction of their real income to let prices be stabilized, while significant net sellers, and to a marginal extent insignificant net sellers, would require positive transfers to accept price stabilization. |
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