Type | Working Paper |
Title | Rethinking the area approach: Immigrants and the labor market in California, 1960 - 2005 |
Author(s) | |
Publication (Day/Month/Year) | 2009 |
URL | http://www.frbsf.org/economic-research/files/ImmigrCali_GiovPeri.pdf |
Abstract | We show that a production-function-based approach with skill differentiation and integrated national markets has predictions for the employment effect of immigrants at the local level. The model predicts that if we look at the employment (rather than wage) response by skill to immigration in a state, we can estimate the substitutability-complementarity between natives and immigrants. This allows us to infer, other things constant, how immigrants stimulate or depress the demand for native labor. We also use a novel instrument based on demographic characteristics of total Central American migrants or Mexican Population to predict immigration by skill level within California. Looking at immigration to California between 1960 and 2005 our estimates support the assumption of a nationally integrated labor market by skill and they support the hypothesis that natives and immigrants in the same education-experience group are not perfectly substitutable. This, in turn, explains the counter-intuitive fact that there is a zero correlation between immigration and native wages and employment outcomes. |