Using WinBUGS to study family frailty in child mortality, with an application to child survival in Ivory Coast

Type Journal Article - Union for African Population Studies
Title Using WinBUGS to study family frailty in child mortality, with an application to child survival in Ivory Coast
Author(s)
Volume 20
Issue 1
Publication (Day/Month/Year) 2005
URL https://tspace.library.utoronto.ca/handle/1807/5838
Abstract
This article analyzes the effects of unobserved family heterogeneity in children survival times through a Bayesian approach. We rely on survey data from Ivory Coast and use a proportional hazard model with multiplicative random effect. With such a model, the usual assumption of independence of observations is avoided. The posterior distributions of the parameters are estimated through a Gibbs sampler algorithm using the WinBUGS software. This technique overcomes the possible local convergence problem observed with the commonly used Expectation-Maximization method.

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