Binary logistic model for estimation of mode shift into Delhi Metro

Type Journal Article - The Open Transportation Journal
Title Binary logistic model for estimation of mode shift into Delhi Metro
Author(s)
Volume 10
Issue 1
Publication (Day/Month/Year) 2016
Page numbers 124-136
URL https://benthamopen.com/contents/pdf/TOTJ/TOTJ-10-124.pdf
Abstract
This paper aims to study the public transport mode choice behaviour of commuters in Delhi so that appropriate strategies
to incentivize the use of public transport can be developed. We examine the efficacy of a multivariate statistical modelling approach
to predict the probability of non-metro commuters to shift to the Delhi metro. We also analyse the reasons for this shift from private
motor vehicles (PMVs) and buses. Data is collected through a survey of the metro commuters over various metro lines. A binomial
logistic regression model is formulated to predict whether existing metro users have shifted from buses or are new additions to public
transport shifting from PMVs. The model is validated well through several methods. The model analysis reveals that 57% of the
metro users have shifted from buses and 28.8% from PMVs. The shift is more amongst females than males.

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