Type | Working Paper |
Title | Vietnamese Inter-regional labor migration: system approach to the modeling for 1989, 1999, and 2009 |
Author(s) | |
Publication (Day/Month/Year) | 2014 |
URL | https://ecomod.net/system/files/TadashiK_30Jun_2014.pdf |
Abstract | Migration and natural increase in regional population influence the long-term development potential of a nation. It is also true that the population in certain regions increases due to industrialization and modernization in order to survive in the market economy. In contrast, some other regions become relatively unattractive for labor to immigrate to, and these become isolated as compared to neighboring regions. In the scenario of economic growth of developing countries, through in-migration and out-migration of labor, the distribution of population and wealth changes dramatically. This is one of the reasons why policymakers, researchers, experts of official development assistance, and donors are concerned about migration with a long-term vision for the sustainable economic development of developing countries. With the dynamic change in the structure of the labor force, migration is one of the most difficult phenomena for researchers to estimate with a focus on the perspectives of the entire country’s development. Because, even though classically economists adopted the view as expressed in Hicks (1932), that “difference in net economic advantage, chiefly differences in wages, is the main cause of migration,” there are also non-economic advantages that influence both in-migration and out-migration of labor. According to modern economists, non-economic valuables and quality of life indicators exert a statistically significant influence on migration. In other words, opportunity costs such as cost of living differences, employment prospects, and public amenities such as comfortable climate or sightseeing advantages have to be considered in the migration function to measure the exact impact of economic factors—for example, to analyze how much high wage expectation of the urban region impacts the inflow of workers into the region and how much overpopulation of the rural region causes outflow of labor into other regions. For this purpose, Poot (1986) used an aggregate data analysis of system approach and estimated the migration function for New Zealand for the period 1971–76 with both social and economic factors included in the model. |
» | Vietnam - Population and Housing Census 2009 |