Type | Conference Paper - 16th Workshop of the Study Group ”Regional Stability in South East Europe” |
Title | The Independence of Kosovo and the Consolidation of Macedonia - A Reason to Worry? |
Author(s) | |
Publication (Day/Month/Year) | 2008 |
Abstract | On 17 February 2008 Kosovo declared independence, for many a sign of the final point of the brake up of Yugoslavia. In the period after, the US and the biggest EU member states, many of the Balkan countries and other countries around the world recognized the independence of Kosovo. As Serbian official position is still “Kosovo je Srbija” [Kosovo is Serbia], the EU has deployed a mission that is deeply involved in the nation and state building of Kosovo. Macedonia until the end of May 2008 had not recognized the independence of Kosovo. Yet the main ethnic Albanian political parties in Macedonia, but also the political leadership in Kosovo, expect that the recognition is a done deal. The relations between Skopje and Priština have been minimal in the early 1990s. More recently, Macedonia has had a history of interaction with Kosovo, during the war in Kosovo and the refugee crisis in 1999 and during the 2001 conflict in the Preševo Valley. As Macedonia has scheduled early parliamentary elections on 1 June 2008, the issue of Kosovo recognition will be undertaken by the upcoming government. After the 2001 conflict, Macedonia implemented the Ohrid Framework Agreement (OFA), an instrument for managing ethnic diversity, a new and innovative initiative considering the local and regional history.1 Although the public opinion of the ethnic Macedonian and ethnic Albanians diverged on the OFA issue, both communities showed similar attitudes toward public institutions.2 The stability and consolidation of Macedonia depends on a viable model for managing inter-ethnic relations. If the model sustains the test of time, it can further be used as a benchmark or best practice for other places, such as Kosovo. The viability of the model is dependent on the development and implementation of policies deriving from OFA and also on the public support for this process. The model is influenced by different internal and external factors. The independence of Kosovo is the most recent external factor that has arisen. This paper has three chapters. The first part unfolds the past Macedonian ethnic politics and the status of Kosovo using instruments from theories of transition and consolidation. The second part is an analysis of the public opinion in Macedonia from May 2007 to May 2008, focusing more particularly on the views of the ethnic communities of Albanians and Macedonians in the Republic of Macedonia. The analysis encompasses the views toward Kosovo in various aspects from personal sentiments toward Kosovo to practical issues like the recognition and border demarcation. As a conclusion, the third and last part of the paper analyses the possible implications in Macedonia from the independence of Kosovo. |
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