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Citation Information

Type Report
Title Recent trends and components of change in fertility in Egypt
Author(s)
Publication (Day/Month/Year) 2005
Publisher International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis
City Laxenborg
Country/State Austria
URL http://www.iiasa.ac.at/Admin/PUB/Documents/IR-05-024.pdf
Abstract
Recent research indicates that fertility transition is underway in Egypt. However, after experiencing a rapid decline since the 1980s, the fertility decline in Egypt seems to be stalling since the second half of the 1990s. Of late, it has been realized that the total fertility rate as the conventional measure is a poor indicator of fertility for populations undergoing rapid fertility transition. In particular, if childbearing is postponed and, subsequently, the mean age at childbearing increases, the observed total fertility rate is lower than in the absence of such timing changes. Thus, the observed stalling in fertility in Egypt could be caused by a change in the timing of first and subsequent births. The present study investigates the levels and changes in total and parity-specific fertility by using the information on changes in the mean age of birth from the Demographic and Health Surveys from 1992, 1995, and 2000. Moreover, we decompose the decline in fertility into its proximate and socioeconomic component

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