Rural Farming Households Vulnerability to Climate Variability in Malawi: A Case of Chitekwere Area Development Programme (ADP) in Lilongwe District

Type Journal Article - Journal of Agricultural Science
Title Rural Farming Households Vulnerability to Climate Variability in Malawi: A Case of Chitekwere Area Development Programme (ADP) in Lilongwe District
Author(s)
Volume 7
Issue 7
Publication (Day/Month/Year) 2015
Page numbers 93-102
URL http://www.ccsenet.org/journal/index.php/jas/article/viewFile/45055/26852
Abstract
Malawi has been experiencing a variety of climatic hazards which include intense rainfall, floods, seasonal
droughts, multi-year droughts, dry spells, cold spells, strong winds, thunderstorms, landslides, hailstorms,
mudslides and heat waves, among many others. These hazards have been undermining the capacity of small
holder households to produce various agricultural commodities. This paper therefore details the results of a study
conducted in Malawi aimed at establishing the determinants of household vulnerability in rural farming
households of Chitekwere Extension Planning Area (EPA) in Lilongwe District. A household survey of 217
randomly selected households was undertaken to collect primary data. Households were classified into different
levels of vulnerability using a Household Vulnerability Index (HVI). In addition, a Logit model coupled with one
sample t-tests, Principal Component Analysis and Sensitivity Analysis were used to characterise rural household
vulnerability. The analysis yielded two vulnerability categories of low and moderate levels. The Household
vulnerability cut-offs were as follows: 65-100 high vulnerability, 41-64.48 moderate vulnerability and 0-40 low
vulnerability. The results showed that 7.4% (n = 16) of the households were least vulnerable and 92.6% (n = 201)
were moderately vulnerable. The estimates of the logit model revealed that Income Generating Activities (IGA),
household size, landholding size, education and access to external support were the most important factors
determining household vulnerability. These factors would influence households to graduate from moderate to
low vulnerability or vice versa. Principal component Analysis results showed that the proportion of maize
production had the highest weight in assessing sensitivity of households due to decline of maize yield. The
results have implications for the development of appropriate policies that will mitigate the negative effects of
climate change in Malawi.

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