Assessing the potential economic impact of Bacillus thuringiensis (Bt) maize in Kenya

Type Journal Article - African Journal of Biotechnology
Title Assessing the potential economic impact of Bacillus thuringiensis (Bt) maize in Kenya
Author(s)
Volume 10
Issue 23
Publication (Day/Month/Year) 2013
Page numbers 4741-4751
URL http://www.ajol.info/index.php/ajb/article/viewFile/94148/83548
Abstract
The Insect Resistant Maize for Africa (IRMA) project is currently developing Bt maize for Kenya. So far,
Bt genes with resistance to Chilo partellus, Chilo orichalcociliellus, Eldana sacharina, and Sesamia
calamistis, four of the five major stemborers were successfully incorporated into elite CIMMYT maize
inbred line (CML216) and tested in insect bioassays in Kenya. Participatory Rural Appraisals showed
that stem borers are indeed major pest problems for farmers. Four seasons of on-farm crop loss
assessment showed an average crop loss of 13.5%, or 0.4 million tons, valued at US$ 80 million. If the
project manages to find a Bt gene that is effective to the fifth stemborer, Busseola fusca, adoption
rates are likely to be high, and therefore the returns. Under standard assumptions, the economic
surplus of the project is calculated at $ 208 million over 25 years (66% of which is consumer surplus)
as compared to a cost of $5.7 million. Geographically, the project should focus on the high production
moist-transitional zone. However, if such gene cannot be found, Bt maize technology would only be
effective in the low potential areas, and adoption rates would be fairly low, although benefits would still
exceed costs

Related studies

»