Changing mass priorities: The link between modernization and democracy

Type Journal Article - Perspectives on Politics
Title Changing mass priorities: The link between modernization and democracy
Author(s)
Volume 8
Issue 2
Publication (Day/Month/Year) 2010
Page numbers 551-567
URL http://www.worldvaluessurvey.org/wvs/articles/folder_published/publication_587/files/ChangingMassPri​orities.pdf
Abstract
A revised version of modernization theory implies that certain cultural variables (deeply-instilled attitudes among the public of a society) play an important role in democratization—and considerable empirical evidence supports this claim. Nevertheless, these
variables are rarely used in econometric analysis of democratization. Why? One important reason is a tendency to view subjective mass orientations as volatile, relatively “soft” data. Analyzing data from many Large-N comparative survey projects, this article
demonstrates that: (1) certain mass attitudes that are linked with modernization constitute attributes of given societies that are fully as stable as standard social indicators; (2) when treated as national-level variables, these attitudes seem to have predictive power comparable to that of widely-used social indicators in explaining important societal-level variables such as democracy; (3) nationallevel mean scores are a legitimate social indicator; and (4) one gets maximum analytic leverage by analyzing data from the full range of societies. We ?nd numerous strong correlations between these subjective indicators and important societal attributes such as democracy, which suggest that causal linkages exist—but we do not attempt to demonstrate them here. Previous research has tested some of these linkages, ?nding support for causal interpretations, but conclusive tests of all the linkages shown here would require several book-length treatments. We brie?y review some of the evidence supporting the conclusion that modernization leads to enduring mass attitudinal changes that are conducive to democracy.

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