Inferring Migration Flows From the Migration Propensities of Infants: Mexico and Indonesia

Type Working Paper - The Annals of Regional Science
Title Inferring Migration Flows From the Migration Propensities of Infants: Mexico and Indonesia
Author(s)
Volume 41
Issue 2
Publication (Day/Month/Year) 2006
Page numbers 443-465
URL http://www.colorado.edu/IBS/pubs/pop/pop2006-0005.pdf
Abstract
The need for methods of indirectly estimating migration flows is particularly important in developing countries, where migration data are often incomplete and inaccurate. This paper focuses on the use of an indirect internal migration estimation method applied to Mexican and Indonesian census data. It shows that the mobility propensities of infants can be used to infer the corresponding propensities of all other age groups. However, the promise of this method is reduced in instances of inadequate data, and great care must be taken to identify outlying values in the data and to correct obviously erroneous patterns. Future work increasingly will be directed to this issue.

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