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Citation Information

Type Journal Article - African Population Studies
Title Probabilistic population forecasts for Egypt
Volume 25
Issue 1
Publication (Day/Month/Year) 2013
URL https://tspace.library.utoronto.ca/bitstream/1807/49256/1/ep11016.pdf
Considering the importance of population forecast, as a basic tool for a wide range of decision makers and planners, this paper produces probabilistic population forecasts for Egypt during the period starting from 2006 to 2051. It dependsmainly on experts' knowledge and arguments which can help to illustrate the uncertainties associated with future demographic trends. The results show that the total population of Egypt is likely to increase significantly over the coming 20 years, from about 73 million to over 100 million (97.12 and 103.5 million), with 95 percent uncertainty range).

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