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Citation Information

Type Working Paper - Joint Discussion Paper Series in Economics
Title Voting Islamist or Voting Secular? An Empirical Analysis of Voting Outcomes in'Arab Spring'Egypt
Author(s)
Issue 51-2012
Publication (Day/Month/Year) 2012
URL http://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/73057/1/732476151.pdf
Abstract
This paper empirically studies the voting outcomes of Egypt’s first parliamentary elections
after the Arab Spring. In light of the strong Islamist success in the polls, we explore the main
determinants of Islamist vs. secular voting. We identify three dimensions that affect voting
outcomes at the constituency level: the socio-economic profile, the economic structure and
the electoral institutional framework. Our results show that education is negatively associated
with Islamist voting. Interestingly, we find significant evidence which suggests that higher
poverty levels are associated with a lower vote share for Islamist parties. Later voting stages
in the sequential voting setup do not exhibit a bandwagon effect.

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