Central Data Catalog

Citation Information

Type Book
Title Population Dynamics in Muslim Countries
Author(s)
Publication (Day/Month/Year) 2012
Publisher Springer
URL http://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-3-642-27881-5_8
Abstract
The new demographic phase of Turkey is characterized by the low level of fertility and declined mortality. At a rate of 2.16, the fertility is now very close to the replacement level. Social and economic development, the increase in educational level and urbanization, accompanied by attitudinal changes as well as the effect of economic and social globalization have been the underlying factors in the persistent decline of fertility in Turkey. As regards the proximate determinants that have played a direct role on the reduction of fertility, mechanisms of fertility control through increased and effective use of contraception and postponement of marriages have been the fundamental factors. As a result of the primary demographic consequence of fertility decline, combined with a rise in life expectancy, a rapid increase in the absolute numbers and proportions of the elderly will be the future outcome that the country will face. Besides, the young age (0–14) population is expected to stabilize and the size of the economically productive age group to increase doubling within the next two or three decades. However, despite the potential for rapid ageing that will produce high demands on social and economic life, the increase in the numbers of economically productive age group will present a demographic window of opportunity, provided that appropriate economic and social policies are realized.

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