Under-five mortality estimates for Sudan and South Sudan

Type Journal Article - Sudanese Journal of Public Health
Title Under-five mortality estimates for Sudan and South Sudan
Author(s)
Volume 6
Issue 4
Publication (Day/Month/Year) 2011
Page numbers 135-142
URL https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Thomas_Spoorenberg/publication/232808194_Under-five_mortality_e​stimates_for_Sudan_and_South_Sudan/links/0fcfd50bf7d5cd1d4e000000.pdf
Abstract
Objective: To propose a first set of consistent time-series of under-five mortality estimates for Sudan
and South Sudan from the 1950s up to today. Methods: Following the estimation procedure of the United
Nations Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation (IGME), a local weighted regression is fitted
on empirical under-five mortality estimates derived from the 1955-56, 1973, 1983, 1993, and 2008
censuses and sample surveys. Findings: Since the 1950s, despite two lengthy civil wars (1955-1972 and
1983-2005), the under-five mortality has declined in both Sudan and South Sudan. From a slow decline
between 1950 and the mid-1980s, the reduction accelerated thereafter, especially in South Sudan. In
2011, the under-five mortality reached 80.2 per 1,000 and 117.4 per 1,000, respectively in Sudan and
South Sudan. These levels are 38 and 47 per cent lower than in 1990. Conclusion: The proposed child
mortality estimates could be useful for policy-makers and organizations active in Sudan and South Sudan
as well as informative for the MDG-4 process in both countries.

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