Regional divides in the correlates of fertility: An analysis of the 2003 Philippine NDHS

Type Conference Paper - 11th National Convention on Statistics (NCS)
Title Regional divides in the correlates of fertility: An analysis of the 2003 Philippine NDHS
Author(s)
Publication (Day/Month/Year) 2010
URL http://www.nscb.gov.ph/ncs/11thNCS/papers/contributed papers/cps-09/02_Regional Divides in the​Correlates of Fertility An Analysis of the 2008 NDHS.pdf
Abstract
The Philippine population is fast increasing and the country’s ranking among the most populated countries in the world is climbing. Unless the problem is addressed, the Philippines is projected to be the 10 th most populated country by 2050. This steady increase in the population is largely attributed to the high fertility level relative to the steadily declining trend in mortality. The 3.3 total fertility rate (TFR) in the 2008 National Demographic and Health Survey (NDHS) implemented by the National Statistics Office (NSO), although lower than the 3.5 TFR in the 2003 round of the NDHS, is way above the replacement level of 2.1 and even the World’s TFR of 2.6. As such, efforts must be exerted towards reducing the fertility level. Although recent trends displayed a decline in the total fertility rate (TFR), the rate of decline is not sufficient to counter the population momentum. As a country divided into 17 highly diverse administrative regions, it was deemed important that the regional statistics be used to determine correlates of fertility so that proper interventions may be proposed specific for each of these regions. Using the women aged 15-49 years old as the unit of analysis, the total number of children ever born (CEB) was the dependent variable used in the analysis. Variables explored were highest educational attainment, partner’s education level, wealth index, age at first birth, marriage to first birth interval, knowledge of contraception method, ever use of contraception method, current use of contraception method, average interval between births, age at first marriage, age at first intercourse, ideal number of children, working status. Appropriate interventions at the regional level are identified as strongest correlates of the CEB were determined within each region

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