Time series analysis of interaction between aggregate expenditure and job creation in South Africa

Type Journal Article - Journal of Governance and Regulation
Title Time series analysis of interaction between aggregate expenditure and job creation in South Africa
Author(s)
Volume 4
Issue 4
Publication (Day/Month/Year) 2015
Page numbers 649-657
URL http://www.virtusinterpress.org/IMG/pdf/JGR__Volume_4_Issue_4_2015_Continued5_-3.pdf#page=77
Abstract
Jobs are the pillars of the economy and aggregate expenditure is among the key factor used to create
an employment stimulating environment. This study scrutinizes the relationship between the
component of aggregate expenditure and job creation in South Africa form 1995 to 2014. The Vector
Autoregressive (VAR) model and multivariate co-integration approach were employed to examine how
household consumption, government, investment and export expenditures affect job creation in South
Africa. Findings of this study revealed that there is long-run relationship between aggregate
expenditure and job creation with government and investment expenditure being the key
determinants of job creation in South Africa. Contrary to priori expectation, consumption and exports
do not improve jobs creation in South Africa. In the short-run, there are no significant interactions
between components of aggregate expenditure and job creation. This study provided recommendation
that may assist in boosting job creation in South Africa

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