Type | Report |
Title | Labour market impact of internal in-migration: A district level analysis of South Africa |
Author(s) | |
Publication (Day/Month/Year) | 2017 |
Publisher | Economic Research Southern Africa (ERSA) |
URL | https://econrsa.org/system/files/publications/working_papers/working_paper_667.pdf |
Abstract | Despite the lack of clarity in literature with regards to the question of whether internal in-migration is a desirable phenomenon for the labor market outcomes, in-migration is often resisted under the premise that it leads to tighter job markets for the locals. This study therefore attempts an empirical verification of the impact of in-migration on labour market outcomes in South Africa. The results of dynamic system GMM regression analysis indicate that in-migration decreases the labour market participation rate of the migrant receiving districts, highlighting migration for non-economic purposes as well as discouraged migrants not seeking work post-migration. While In-migration is not found to alter signifi- cantly the employment rate of the receiving areas, indications are that the employment rate is maintained through an expansion of the informal wage employment. There is evidence of non-linear relationship between in-migration and the labour markets of the receiving areas. While initial migration results in the expansion of the formal sector employment, sustained increase in in-migration leads to informalisation of the labour markets. There is hence little evidence of positive self-selection among internal migrants in South Africa. Our results corroborate the HarrisTodaro model’s prediction that in-migration leads to increased informal sector share of the labour marketsю |
» | South Africa - Labour Market Dynamics in South Africa 2015 |
» | South Africa - National Income Dynamics Study 2012 |