Structural Reform Packages, Sequencing, and the Informal Economy

Type Report
Title Structural Reform Packages, Sequencing, and the Informal Economy
Author(s)
Publication (Day/Month/Year) 2017
Publisher International Monetary Fund
URL https://www.imf.org/~/media/Files/Publications/WP/2017/wp17125.ashx
Abstract
This paper explores the macroeconomic impacts of labor and product market deregulation
using a small open-economy model with formal and informal markets. We examine both the
long-run effects and the transition towards the post-reform equilibrium, while our main focus
are reform packages and sequencing. The unofficial sector is a major determinant of the sign,
and, in particular, the magnitude of responses. South Africa, an emerging country, is
considered when Bayesian estimating the model. Regarding the long run, both labor and
product market reforms considerably increase output, although labor market reforms are
more successful in decreasing unemployment. Nevertheless, there are short-term costs, for
example, a decrease in household consumption, net exports or output, or a decrease in
competition. Combining reforms, especially with product market deregulation, are good at
reducing short-term costs. Finally, concerning the speed of adjustment, it is usually better to
start with a labor market reform.

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