On Modeling Transport Accident Deaths in Thailand based on Poisson distributions

Type Conference Paper - 2nd ISI Regional Statistics Conference, 20-24 March 2017, Indonesia (Session IPS04)
Title On Modeling Transport Accident Deaths in Thailand based on Poisson distributions
Author(s)
Publication (Day/Month/Year) 2017
URL https://isi-rsc2017.org/Portal/Proceeding/IPS/ISIRSC2017_IPS04_S3_P_Notodiputro.pdf
Abstract
This study aimed to investigate patterns of transport accident deaths in Thailand from year 2000 to 2009.
The death certificate data were obtained from the Bureau of Policy and Strategy, Ministry of Public
Health in Thailand. A generalized linear model (GLM) based on the Poisson distribution was used for
identifying the patterns of transport accident deaths with respect to location, gender-age group and year.
The transport accident deaths were found to be the lowest in Bangkok followed by the three south-most
provinces and the most of the North-east provinces. The overall transport accident deaths during the past
ten years have decreased by 30 %. This was happened especially among Thai males, in which the peaked
was in age group 20-29 years. The results from this study have provided useful information for the
relevant agencies to continuously reduce deaths caused by transport accidents.

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