Microfoundations of civil conflict reconciliation: Ethnicity and context

Type Journal Article - International Interactions
Title Microfoundations of civil conflict reconciliation: Ethnicity and context
Author(s)
Volume 37
Issue 4
Publication (Day/Month/Year) 2011
Page numbers 363-387
URL http://www.hbuhaug.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/02/II-2011-for-web.pdf
Abstract
Comparative work on reconstruction and peace building in war-torn countries is dominated by
a macro-oriented approach, focusing on structural political reforms, legal issues,
disarmament, demobilization and reintegration of (rebel) soldiers, and repatriation of the
displaced. This article offers a different perspective, examining micro-level determinants of
reconciliation. Earlier research indicates that political attitudes in post-ethnic conflict societies
are shaped by ethnic affinity. A large literature on the importance of contextual conditions for
human behavior would suggest that ethnic composition of the local population and physical
proximity to the conflict zone also should affect individual support for peace and
reconciliation. To test these propositions, we draw on a geo-referenced survey of the
Macedonian population that measures respondents’ perception of the 2001 civil conflict.
Contrary to expectations, the spatial and demographic setting exerts only feeble impacts on
individuals’ support for the Framework Agreement. Several years after the conflict was
settled, the survey data reveal a strongly divided Macedonian society where ethnicity trumps
all other individual and contextual factors in explaining the respondents’ preferences.

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