Forecast Based Anticipatory Action Impact Evaluation 2022-2023

This study was conducted by the World Food Program's Office of Evaluation unit, with technical assistance from World Bank's DECDI unit. The study randomized the timing of physical cash transfers to households living in flood affected districts of Nepal in October 2022. There are 2 arms, with the first arm receiving the transfers right after the flood peaked and the remaining arm receiving transfers after 1-month. The flood peak was predicted by Nepal's Department of Hydrology and Meteorology, and after flood forecast intensity met the criteria set out by WFP's country office. The physical cash transfers were provided to households via local remittance agents. WFP's Nepal Country Office hired enumerators to conduct the surveys with respondents after each tranche of payments. The survey questionnaire covers food security, psychological wellbeing and coping strategies households utilized after the floods. All three rounds of surveys were conducted in-person. The results are published in the World Bank working paper series. The funding for this data collection was provided by the World Food Program's Office of Evaluation and USAID.