The impact of climate change on the wind energy resource of Suriname using Regional Climate Model (RCM) simulations

Type Journal Article - International Journal of Engineering and Applied Sciences
Title The impact of climate change on the wind energy resource of Suriname using Regional Climate Model (RCM) simulations
Author(s)
Volume 3
Issue 8
Publication (Day/Month/Year) 2016
Page numbers 75-79
URL https://www.ijeas.org/download_data/IJEAS0308044.pdf
Abstract
The objective of this study was to analyze if wind
energy would be efficient to use in Suriname, in order to
generate power on utility scale. For this study three locations
along the coast of Suriname were used: Nieuw Nickerie,
Paramaribo and Galibi. The PRECIS regional model was used
to do the dynamical down scaling and was also used to do
correlation analysis with the available measurements. Two
future time periods were used, the period of 2020-2050 and
2070-2100. The ERA40 and ECHAM4 data sets showed a
correlation higher than 0.4 with the observed data set.
ECHAM5 and Hadley had a very low correlation factor. Based
on the ECHAM4 data, three SRES scenarios were available,
namely ECHAM4 A2 (2020-2050), ECHAM4 A2 (2070-2100)
and ECHAM4 B2 (2070-2100). These wind speed data were
corrected and then synthesized on different heights with the
simulation program Windographer. This program was also used
to do power prediction on different heights and with different
wind turbines. The results showed that for the period of
2020-2050, the ECHAM4 A2 (2020-2050) scenario had
reasonable wind speeds that could generate power on utility
scale with a CF that is in between 20 and 35%. The ECHAM4
A2 (2070-2100) and ECHAM4 B2 (2070-2100) scenarios were
scenarios with very low wind power and CFs lower than 20%.

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