| Table of contents |
Acknowledgement .......................................................................................................................... i
Glossary ......................................................................................................................................... ii
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ......................................................................................................... iii
1. Introduction............................................................................................................................. 12
2. Impact Evaluation Design for the Lesotho Land Reform and Administration Project... 13
2.1 Rationale for MCA investments in LARP and the vision of impact pathway.................... 13
2.2 Description and scope of activities being evaluated ........................................................... 16
2.3 Impact evaluation methodology.......................................................................................... 17
2.4 Identifying the treatment and comparison communities..................................................... 18
2.5 Sample size and sampling strategy ..................................................................................... 18
2.6 Data collection .................................................................................................................... 22
3. Results of the Balancing Test................................................................................................. 23
3.1 Socio-economic characteristics........................................................................................... 25
3.1.1 Household demographics............................................................................................. 25
3.1.2 Type of Employment, Income Sources and Value of Assets Owned.......................... 26
3.1.3 Food consumption, expenditures and poverty ............................................................. 28
3.1.4 Access to credit ............................................................................................................ 31
3.2 Land Ownership, Land Markets and Perceived Tenure Security ....................................... 34
3.2.1 Profile of land parcels surveyed in terms of location, size, use, and ownership status 34
3.2.2 Characteristics of parcels owned ................................................................................. 37
3.2.3 Land acquisition........................................................................................................... 38
3.2.4 Land documents ........................................................................................................... 40
3.2.5 Land conflict and perceived risks ................................................................................ 42
3.2.6 Hypothetical land sales and land rental prices............................................................. 43
3.2.7 Land market ................................................................................................................. 45
3.2.8 Land investment........................................................................................................... 45
3.3 Knowledge, Perception and Opinion on Land Lease, Land Law and Land Rights............ 47
3.4 Exploring the Potential Use of Propensity Score Matching to Reduce Pre-treatment Sample Differences between the Treatment and Comparison Groups ..................................... 52
4. Baseline Assessment of the Outcome and Impact Indicators of the LARP Project ......... 59
5. Correlation between Key Potential Outcome Indicators and Respondent, Household and Plot Characteristics..................................................................................................................... 60
5.1 Correlation between Lease status, parcel characteristics and potential outcome indicators61
5.2 Correlation between value of land and parcel characteristics............................................. 65
5.3 Correlation between hypothetical behavioral outcomes and lease status ........................... 68
6. Discussion and Conclusions ................................................................................................... 81
6.1 Key results and comparison between treatment and control areas ..................................... 81
6.2 Methodological implications .............................................................................................. 82
References cited........................................................................................................................... 84 |
